Windrush Weather

Author: Eric Gilbert

  • Dramatic change in wind direction overnight

    Wednesday was the last of the very warm days as the thermometer rose to a peak of 18.9C being 8.5C above the 37-year average in the light southerly air stream.

    Overnight the temperature slipped downwards to a minimum of 7.6C. However, just after 04.15, following a calm night, the wind suddenly changed from southerly to northeasterly and by 08.00 wind chill was evident making it feel at least 1C cooler outside than indicated on the thermometer. The high pressure in the Atlantic, to the north west of the UK, is intensifying bringing the air from around Iceland.

    A totally cloudy sky greeted Thursday with the northeastery wind currently gusting to over 20mph making it feel very chilly.

    March 2021 Review

    A relatively dry month.

    March began with persistent winds from the northeast that meant temperatures were depressed. Thick cloud carried in overnight from the North Sea blanketed the area that on one morning limited visibility to 200m. On the 4th the thermometer struggle to reach just 4.4C, which was 6C below the 37-year average.

    There followed several nights when an air frost occurred, the coldest being in the early hours of the 8th with a minimum of -3.3C being 5.7C below the long-term average. However, just after dawn the temperature had risen to 0.7C with no evidence that a hard frost had occurred.

    The wind direction changed significantly from the 8th backing into the west and then south as the anticyclone eased away and a depression approached from the Atlantic driven on by a strong jet stream. A peak gust of 42mph was recorded in the early hours of the 11th.

    The succession of weather fronts during this period gave us three days of rain with the wettest on the 12th with 8.5mm.

    A welcome anticyclone approached on the 13th and intensified over the UK for ten days reaching a peak pressure of 1035.8mb. This brought fine weather and minimal rain with daytime temperatures above average but due to clearing skies many cool nights.

    Several rain bands crossed the country on the 25th and 26th adding another 8.3mm on the latter day, the second wettest day in what proved to be a relatively dry month.

    The month ended with a flow of Continental Air on a southerly air stream that arrived from North Africa and Iberia. The 30th saw the thermometer soar to a maximum of 22.1C, which was 11.6C above my 37-year average and a record for this station set up in 1984. I understand that it was the warmest March day since 1968. The 30th didn’t reach such heights but a peak of 18.9C was the second warmest for March.

    Overall March gave a mean temperature 0.4C above average that was principally due to the last three days of unusual warmth. By contrast, we had 6 nights when an air frost occurred with -3.3C during the early hours of the 8th the coldest.

    March 2021 was a relatively dry month with only 36.6mm of precipitation recorded. The total was 23.2mm below the 37-year average and the driest match since 2015 that followed a below average total for February. There were 20 totally dry days when the long-term average is 16.

    Although it was an above average month for temperature it was not thanks to many hours of sunshine as the solar energy total was only 82% of the 12-year average. The UV level reached a ‘Moderate’ level on just 6 days.

    It is interesting to analyze the diurnal temperature range for March since 1984 when I find that in the latter 1980’s the average was 15C but recent years have seen the average range increase to 17.5C. On the 30th our human frame had to adjust to a diurnal range of 22.5C.

    I came across an interesting item recently, having commented in a recent monthly review about the importance of accurate data when monitoring the oceans with regard to CO2 and the rise in sea level. A new era of sailing for science began in January with support for vital ocean observations from the high-profile round-the-world Vendée Globe yacht race. Ten of the skippers took with them scientific instruments including either drifting buoys that gather climatological information or Argo floats that analyse seawater. During the race they deployed all the drifting buoys and almost all the Argo floats at agreed co-ordinates in the Atlantic. The World Meteorological organization stated recently that “We cannot stress enough the importance of the oceans, without them there would be no life on earth. As major players in our climate system, they store over 90% of the excess heat from radiative forcing and absorb about a quarter of the human-produced CO2 emitted annually”.

    Seven meteorological buoys and 3 profiling floats, operated respectively by Météo-France and Argo France, were deployed by the IMOCA skippers at agreed positions in the Atlantic Ocean.  Four skippers also carried onboard equipment to measure essential ocean variables such as sea surface salinity, temperature, CO2, atmospheric pressure, as well measure the microplastics pollution at sea. The article concluded that “usually, the deployment of ocean observing instruments is done through research oceanographic ships, which are very costly and not able to sail everywhere throughout the ocean regardless of the season. Racing yachts can reach remote and not yet well sampled areas of the ocean, filling critical observational gap”.

  • June temperatures in March!

    The thermometer soared to a peak of 22.1C at 15.50 on Tuesday that was a significant 11.5C above the 37-year average and according to records the hottest March day since 1968. My previous record for March, since the stone was started in 1984, was a maximum of 20.1C on 28th March 2012. The sunshine in the morning was hazy due to thin high cloud but ended the day with 8.8 hours of string sunshine logged.

    With the air streaming towards us on a southerly air movement all the way from North Africa and Iberia it was not surprising to find, after an exceptionally warm day, to find a warm night followed. The minimum reached was 8.8c, which was 6.4C above the average and the warmest night this month.

    Although a red globe was spotted rising above the horizon at dawn on Wednesday it soon disappeared behind high cloud obscuring the sun as on Tuesday. The thermometer at 08.00 had risen to 9.9C

  • Continental air arrives!

    The flow of Continental air on a light southerly breeze saw the thermometer steadily rose to a maximum of 18.3C on Monday, which was the warmest day since 22nd September and was 7.8C above the average. The UV level rose to a. peak of 4.1, which was the strongest since 18th September and at the top end of ‘Moderate’. The sun was reluctant to appear until early afternoon due to cloud cover but logged 4.1 hours by close down.

    Overnight, not surprisingly due to clear skies, the thermometer steadily fell away to reach a minimum of 0.8C at 05.58 on Tuesday morning producing short lived ground frost and 1.6C below the average for March.

    Tuesday’s arrival saw glorious sunshine immediately after sunrise that lifted the thermometer to 4.9C at 08.00.

  • Getting warmer!

    Sunday saw the thermometer ease upwards to reach 11.9C being 1.4C above average in the brisk southwesterly wind, gusting to 28mph on one occasion. Sunshine was limited to just 0.3 hours and UV back to ‘Low’.

    It has been a dry twenty-four hours with the monthly total of 36.6mm 24mm below the 37-year March average.

    The past night was the mildest this March with the thermometer not dropping below 8.4C being 6C above average.

    Monday arrived with continuous cloud but with a high base. The southwesterly wind continues to bring very mild air from far south with the thermometer reading 9C at 08.00.

  • Warmth returns on south westerlies

    Saturday brought us 6.3 hours of sunshine that combined with mild southwesterly winds raised the temperature to a peak of 11.6C being 1.1C above average. The UV level rose to a peak of 3.9, which was at the high end of ‘Moderate’ and the strongest UV since 22nd September.

    There was a very light shower just after 05.30 on Sunday morning that brought the monthly total to 36.6mm. This total is 24mm below the 37-year average and with no rain in the forecast for the remainder of the month it is likely to be the driest March since 2015.

    The past night has been very mild, the thermometer not dropping below,8.0C, which was 5.5C above the 37-year average.

    Sunday arrived with thick cloud obscuring any chance of seeing the sun. The mild south-southwesterly wind is continuing as the result of the old high pressure now centred over Spain and a depression to the northwest of the UK.