Windrush Weather

Category: Commentary

  • More sunshine when the cloud eases away towards noon

    More sunshine when the cloud eases away towards noon

    The strong sunshine on Thursday lifted the temperature to a maximum of 19.2C at 15.19 being 5.1C above average that made it the warmest day since 21st September (19.3C). The forecast cloud was observed arriving from the south at 14.05, thin and broken at first, but by 15.15 it had thickened thus the maximum mid-afternoon. The back track of the cloud radar showed the cloud persistent overnight, acting as a duvet limiting the loss of warmth into the atmosphere, with a resultant minimum of 9.2C at 06.46 early Friday. This low was 5.5C above my long-term average and made it the warmest night since 1st December (10.0C).

    There was a little very weak sunshine after sunrise, through a small gap in the cloud over eastern horizon, but after 08.00 there were signs that the cloud was beginning to thin and becoming more broken with the hope of strong sunshine later in the morning.

    The depression that had been lurking close to the Bay of Biscay recently has now moved a little eastwards, positioning itself just off the coast of Portugal overnight. The low pressure system produced the warm weather front that crossed our area overnight. Tracking back on the rain radar there was a small area on the edge of the cloud bank, about 80 miles wide, that is likely to have produced the few spots of rain visible on horizontal surfaces after dawn, but not sufficient to be measurable.

    The recent anticyclone is likely to be the dominant factor affecting our weather over the weekend and into next week as it drifts a little further southwards and becomes settled over Scandinavia, with more dry and sunny days ahead.

    I have mentioned this week that the brisk easterly had produced a wind chill. I have discovered, to my surprise, that there is no official definition of wind chill as definitions vary globally, dependent on how it is measured. In the UK,a system called Joint Action Group for Temperature Indices is used to realistically measure wind chill. This calculates wind chill by measuring how much heat is lost from a person’s bare face at a height of 5 feet (human height) using wind speed, temperature and humidity data.

    I thought that the recent picture of the magnolia in Priory Gardens, that I included earlier this week, was worth repeating this morning as the blooms are glorious against the blue sky.

  • Under threat of cloud later today from depression to west of Iberia

    Under threat of cloud later today from depression to west of Iberia

    Wednesday gave us another fine day with wall to wall sunshine, however, the northeasterly breeze was even stronger, gusting to 30mph. The strong, cool breeze produced a modest wind chill that outside it felt between 1C and 2C cooler. The thermometer, late in the afternoon at 16.06, reached a maximum of 16.6C being 2.5C above my long-term average but outside at that time, in a gust, it felt more like 15.2C. The past night gave us a minimum of 5.4C at 06.11 which was 1.7C above average. The day was dry, the sixth successive dry day with the UV level at the top of the ‘Moderate’ category.

    Thursday gave us another glorious start to the day with the sun shining strongly after it rose above the horizon that had lifted the temperature to 7.7C by 08.00. The wind will continue from the east this morning and veer a few degrees into east-southeast during the afternoon.

    The depression that has been lurking over Iberia recently, and today is just off the cast of Spain, was at 07.00 beginning to push cloud over the English Channel and into the coastal areas of Hampshire and Dorset. As the day progresses, a trough of low pressure containing a weather front, will ease northwards and likely bring some cloud to our region in the afternoon, but probably no rain associated with that warm front. The barometric pressure has fallen 8mb since Tuesday as the depression tries to assert itself. However, the anticyclone will continue to be the dominant player with more sunny and dry days ahead.

  • More wall to wall sunshine today

    More wall to wall sunshine today

    Although we had almost wall to wall sunshine on Tuesday, with variable light cloud on occasions, the cool easterly breeze pegged back the temperatures. The wind gusted to a maximum of 23mph at 15.55, that produced a light wind chill although the maximum of 15.0C, logged at 15.49, was 0.9C above my long-term average.

    Under the dominant high pressure the sky was mainly clear last night, which allowed any warmth to dissipate into the atmosphere, although last night there was no frost as the minimum did not sink below 3.8C logged at 06.34 early Wednesday.

    Wednesday brought us another glorious start to the day with the sun shining strongly after it rose above the horizon. The barometric pressure remains high over the UK with its centre over southern Scandinavia that will again produce an easterly breeze, which will be cool as it has travelled over the southern North Sea where the sea temperature is at its coldest all year, currently at 9C. The breeze is likely to be pick again as it is being squeezed between the high pressure and a low pressure over Iberia, that might tomorrow produce a little cloud later on the day.

    March 2025 Review

    The month began with a dominant, large high-pressure system that extended from the UK to the Black Sea, which gave us wonderful days with clear blue skies and wall to wall sunshine. After the wet end to February the loss of equivalent rainfall through evaporation from ground sources was over 1mm per day with 1.70m logged on the 4th.

    The downside to the clear skies were the inevitable air frosts overnight with a low of -5.2C logged in the early hours of the 3rd, being 7.8C below the long-term average. The following days brought glorious wall to wall sunshine with the maximum rising each day culminating in a peak of 17.4C on the 9th being a significant 6.7C above my long-term average making it the warmest day since 17th October.

    Sadly, it was all change from the 11th as the air began to arrive from the Arctic. The following days and nights were cold with wind chill and air frosts at night. The air was directed from the north and northeast between an anticyclone to the west, with its air circulating clockwise, and a depression over Scandinavia and then the Continent with its associated air circulating anticlockwise, down over the UK. There was quite a squeeze between the two weather systems. With the wind increasing in strength, a maximum of 20mph was logged on two days that produced a significant wind chill making it feel much colder outside than indicated on a thermometer.

    There were seven days when the maximum temperature was well below average and clear skies meant overnight hard frosts with a minimum of -3.2C in the early hours of the 14th, which was a significant 5.2C below my long-term average. However, there was a sign that the sun was beginning to get stronger as the UV level on the 14th and 15th rose into the ‘Moderate’ level for the first time since 5th October.

    Thankfully, a rise in pressure and change in wind direction from northeast to east then southeast from the 19th brought milder temperatures with the first rain after eight consecutive dry days. A rainfall of 2.9mm on the 21st was the wettest day since 26th February. The maximum temperatures returned above average from the 18th with a high of 19.8C on the 20th, being a significant 9.1C above my long-term average.

    Signs that the sun was getting stronger were recorded on the 26th, under periods of strong sunshine, when the UV level rose to a peak of 4.4, being at the top end of the ‘Moderate’ level, the highest since 17th September.

    There was another drier, warmer period from the 24th, under a ridge of high pressure, that meant the wind backed into the southwest as the centre of the anticyclone relocated, not seen since the 5th March.

    The month ended with a dominant high pressure over southern England that gave us many hours of glorious sunshine and more dry days.

    The diurnal temperature range, the difference between night and day extremes, was logged over the 27th/28th at just 2.7C (10.8C and 8.1C). Contrasting those figures was a diurnal range of 15.7C over the 30th/31st (16.1C and -0.4C).

    The past month broke the record for the driest March I have logged since this station was set up in 1984. We have enjoyed 26 dry days. The total rainfall was just 5.3mm being only 8.3% of the 41-year record or minus 57.6mm. The BBC stated on the 29th that the average for southern England was 25%, so we had an exceptionally dry month in Marlborough. The wettest day on the 21st only produced 2.9mm, being over half the month’s rainfall. There is one other major factor to bear in mind as the ground dried out, the equivalent loss of rainfall through evaporation from ground sources and plant life was 50.1mm. A daily loss of over 2mm was recorded on 9 days with a peak of 3.00mm on the 30th.

    The records show that the driest March months were in 2011 with 12.7mm and 1997 with 15.6mm. By way of contrast the wettest March was in 2023 with 163.3mm, the second wettest March was in 2018 with 130.9mm.

    The precipitation statistics were made using a standard Metrological Office 5inch copper rain gauge. This data was backed up by my automatic rain gauge.

    It was a relatively warm month being 0.7C above my long-term average. That disguises the fact that the maximum was 2.1C above average due to the sunny, dry days but the minimum was 0.7C below average due to the 13 nights with an air frost that were particularly hard at the beginning of the month.

    Finally, Lincoln University had requested, via my national meteorological organisation linked to the Met Office, extensive data as the partial eclipse on the 29th occurred. For this I recorded the data every 10 minutes from 00.00 on Saturday up to 09.30, then every minute until 12.30, lastly back to a ten-minute interval until 19.00, supplying five items of meteorological data at each time interval. During the period of the eclipse there was changeable, very light cloud that gave variable solar radiation data but it was noticeable that the air temperature was very stable, with minimal variation of 11.1C or 11.2 between the lengthy period of over an hour between 10.16 and 11.25, even though the sun was shining brightly. Over that period the solar radiation varied from 603W/m2 to 339W/m2 at the time of the greatest coverage of the sun by the moon. The thermometer eventually gave a maximum of 13.3C at 15.25, which was a little depressed as after the eclipse had ended there was a significant increase in wind speed. The data was limited to those with professional equipment that was naturally aspirated and radiation shielded, also sited away from buildings and hard surfaces.

    Fog was observed on four days with thirteen mornings when an air frost had developed under clear skies.

    Image of magnolia in Priory Gardens, Marlborough

  • New month but no change in sunshine hours for a few days

    New month but no change in sunshine hours for a few days

    The almost wall to wall sunshine on Monday raised the temperature to a maximum of 16.9C late afternoon at 16.19 being a significant 6.3C above my long-term average. It was the 21st dry day but more significant was that the UV level peaked at 4.0, which took it into the ‘High’ category.

    Under the high pressure and clear skies the sunny, warm days are followed by chilly nights and last night saw the thermometer fall to a minimum of 3.4C at 06.05 early Tuesday, thus no air frost, being 0.7C above average.

    Tuesday brought an overcast start to the new day. The high pressure has relocated to be centred over Denmark and southern Scandinavia with the resultant airflow, moving anticlockwise, coming around its southern flank and having backed into the east for today. This wind direction picked up moisture as to travelled across the cool North Sea and consequently drifted across during the night, however, shortly after 09.00 the sun began to break through and shine strongly.

    March 2025 Review

    The month began with a dominant, large high-pressure system that extended from the UK to the Black Sea, which gave us wonderful days with clear blue skies and wall to wall sunshine. After the wet end to February the loss of equivalent rainfall through evaporation from ground sources was over 1mm per day with 1.70m logged on the 4th.

    The downside to the clear skies were the inevitable air frosts overnight with a low of -5.2C logged in the early hours of the 3rd, being 7.8C below the long-term average. The following days brought glorious wall to wall sunshine with the maximum rising each day culminating in a peak of 17.4C on the 9th being a significant 6.7C above my long-term average making it the warmest day since 17th October.

    Sadly, it was all change from the 11th as the air began to arrive from the Arctic. The following days and nights were cold with wind chill and air frosts at night. The air was directed from the north and northeast between an anticyclone to the west, with its air circulating clockwise, and a depression over Scandinavia and then the Continent with its associated air circulating anticlockwise, down over the UK. There was quite a squeeze between the two weather systems. With the wind increasing in strength, a maximum of 20mph was logged on two days that produced a significant wind chill making it feel much colder outside than indicated on a thermometer.

    There were seven days when the maximum temperature was well below average and clear skies meant overnight hard frosts with a minimum of -3.2C in the early hours of the 14th, which was a significant 5.2C below my long-term average. However, there was a sign that the sun was beginning to get stronger as the UV level on the 14th and 15th rose into the ‘Moderate’ level for the first time since 5th October.

    Thankfully, a rise in pressure and change in wind direction from northeast to east then southeast from the 19th brought milder temperatures with the first rain after eight consecutive dry days. A rainfall of 2.9mm on the 21st was the wettest day since 26th February. The maximum temperatures returned above average from the 18th with a high of 19.8C on the 20th, being a significant 9.1C above my long-term average.

    Signs that the sun was getting stronger were recorded on the 26th, under periods of strong sunshine, when the UV level rose to a peak of 4.4, being at the top end of the ‘Moderate’ level, the highest since 17th September.

    There was another drier, warmer period from the 24th, under a ridge of high pressure, that meant the wind backed into the southwest as the centre of the anticyclone relocated, not seen since the 5th March.

    The month ended with a dominant high pressure over southern England that gave us many hours of glorious sunshine and more dry days.

    The diurnal temperature range, the difference between night and day extremes, was logged over the 27th/28th at just 2.7C (10.8C and 8.1C). Contrasting those figures was a diurnal range of 15.7C over the 30th/31st (16.1C and -0.4C).

    The past month broke the record for the driest March I have logged since this station was set up in 1984. We have enjoyed 26 dry days. The total rainfall was just 5.3mm being only 8.3% of the 41-year record or minus 57.6mm. The BBC stated on the 29th that the average for southern England was 25%, so we had an exceptionally dry month in Marlborough. The wettest day on the 21st only produced 2.9mm, being over half the month’s rainfall. There is one other major factor to bear in mind as the ground dried out, the equivalent loss of rainfall through evaporation from ground sources and plant life was 50.1mm. A daily loss of over 2mm was recorded on 9 days with a peak of 3.00mm on the 30th.

    The records show that the driest March months were in 2011 with 12.7mm and 1997 with 15.6mm. By way of contrast the wettest March was in 2023 with 163.3mm, the second wettest March was in 2018 with 130.9mm.

    The precipitation statistics were made using a standard Metrological Office 5inch copper rain gauge. This data was backed up by my automatic rain gauge.

    It was a relatively warm month being 0.7C above my long-term average. That disguised the fact that the maximum was 2.1C above average due to the sunny, dry days but the minimum was 0.7C below average due to the 13 nights with an air frost that were particularly hard at the beginning of the month.

    Fog was observed on four days with thirteen mornings when an air frost had developed under clear skies.

    Finally, Lincoln University had requested, via my national meteorological organisation linked to the Met Office, extensive data as the partial eclipse on the 29th occurred. For this I recorded the data every 10 minutes from 00.00 on Saturday up to 09.30, then every minute until 12.30, lastly back to a ten-minute interval until 19.00, supplying five items of meteorological data at each time interval. During the period of the eclipse there was changeable, very light cloud that gave variable solar radiation data but it was noticeable that the air temperature was very stable, with minimal variation of 11.1C or 11.2 between the lengthy period of over an hour between 10.16 and 11.25, even though the sun was shining brightly. Over that period the solar radiation varied from 603W/m2 to 339W/m2 at the time of the greatest coverage of the sun by the moon. The thermometer eventually gave a maximum of 13.3C at 15.25, which was a little depressed as after the eclipse had ended there was a significant increase in wind speed. The data was limited to those with professional equipment that was naturally aspirated and radiation shielded, also sited away from buildings and hard surfaces.

    The next few images were taken in Priory Gardens when I was preparing images for the Marlborough in Bloom portfolio and presentation in 2015 when we won Gold.

  • Jet stream in favourable position this week

    Jet stream in favourable position this week

    After a chilly start to Sunday the thermometer eventually climbed to a peak of 16.1C late Sunday afternoon being a significant 5.4C above my long-term average. This high was thanks to the many hours of glorious sunshine but outside it was tempered by a chilly northwesterly breeze that gusted strongly with a maximum gust of 22mph at 14.44 that for much of the day produced a modest wind chill that out of the sun made it feel cool, irrespective of the air temperature.

    It was not surprising to find that the thermometer made a steady downward movement overnight, under the clear skies and almost complete absence of any breeze to stir up the air mass. The air temperature fell to freezing point at 06.20 early Monday with a low of -0.4C at 06.59 before the sun got to work. Although the air frost lasted only an hour to 07.20 the ground frost was over a much longer period.

    Monday revealed a glorious, sunny start to the new day after the sun had cleared some thin cloud over the eastern horizon. After the hour changed yesterday it is not quite so warm today at 08.00 as recently with a temperature of 2.1C logged at that time.

    The Jet Stream is currently looping to the north of the UK resulting in the country being on the warmer side to the south. The forecast is that this situation will continue for much of the week with the high pressure dominating our weather up to the weekend. As a result we are likely to have sunny, warm days but chilly nights as the sky remains mostly clear.

    We are still on for me to record the driest Match since my station began in 1984 with just 5.2mm of precipitation against the 40-year average of 62.9. This very low total is 8.3% of the long-term data set against the BBC weather comment of around 25% for much of southern England yesterday.

    More pictures taken of Marlborough in Bloom in 2015, for the portfolio and presentation, when we were awarded Gold.