Windrush Weather

Category: Commentary

  • Cooler northerly airstream arrives but still sunny

    Cooler northerly airstream arrives but still sunny

    The beginning of a cooler air flow on Friday meant the maximum of 23.7C was almost 5C below the heat of Thursday but still 6.4C above the long-term average. The variable cloud limited the rise in UV to just a Moderate level after several days when it peaked at High. Variable cloud overnight meant an above average minimum of 8.8 (+1.7C) early on Saturday.

    Saturday began with total cloud cover but just before 07.45 the thick cloud that had been drifting down from the north began to clear and break up allowing the sun to break through and raise the temperature to 11.9C by 08.00. The area of thunderstorms and heavy rain that is currently over the Isles of Scilly and Britanny is edging slowly northwards across the channel approaching the south coast.

    For the next three or four days our weather will be dominated by an anticyclone, currently centred just south of Iceland, which is feeding a much cooler air stream down from the north, originating over Scandinavia. This high pressure system is forecast to slowly drift southwards that for the weekend will maintain the cooler but mainly dry weather. By Monday onwards the anticyclone will be much closer to the UK, as a result the wind will have a more easterly component, so a little less cool but maintaining the trend of dry days and becoming a little more breezy.

    This will be the last images of bluebells from West Woods near Marlborough. Starting tomorrow will be a walk through the Malmesbury Abbey Gardens enjoying the beautiful tulip displays.

  • New ‘High’ pressure takes charge

    New ‘High’ pressure takes charge

    The continuous and strong sunshine on Thursday boosted the temperature to a maximum of 28.1C at 15.41 being 10.8C above my long-term average it was also the warmest day since 12th August. It was the ninth consecutive dry day with the UV peak level of 5.5 reaching the category of ‘High’ again. Much warmth stored in the ground overnight meant the minimum of 10.0C logged at 05.41 early Friday was 3.0C above average.

    Friday brought another sunny start to the new day but a cold front will wander across the country today, just to the north of our area, that will herald the arrival of a cooler northerly air stream. Variable cloud could push up from the depression just off the coast of Portugal later today.

    The anticyclone just off the coast of Ireland is likely to dominate our weather over the weekend and continue the flow of cooler northerly air but with little rainfall.

    April 2025 review

    The high-pressure system just to the northeast of the UK became the dominant feature for the first week in April bringing fine dry days with wall-to-wall sunshine on many days.

    The temperatures, as a result, rose well above average with a peak of 21.8C on the 4th that made it the warmest day since last September. However, the brisk wind, gusting up to 30mph, produced a wind chill so outside it felt much cooler, especially out of the sun.

    The downside to the clear skies were the cool nights as the minimum slowly began to fall away with 4.4C, 2.5C, -0.1C and -1.2C on the 8th respectively making the latter the coldest night since 16th March.

    The anticyclone that had been so dominant for many days eventually gave up the fight with the depression to the southwest beginning to elbow in and produce a significant change in our weather form the 12th as barometric pressure began to drop significantly. The first rain after seventeen consecutive dry days occurred during the evening and night of the 14th/15th, but the amount was minimal with just 0.8mm.

    The first below average maximum was logged on the 14th being the first below average since the 17th March at -0.6C. This was due to cloud being thrown up from the depression moving up from Britanny, producing the widest and densest cloud bands since early March.

    A depression edged in from the Atlantic on the 22nd that brought very welcome rainfall during the night amounting to 8.6mm being the wettest day since 26th February. This was a great help to gardeners as it had time to be absorbed by the soil, which was very dry. The previous 52 days had brought us just 8.8mm, much of which was very light and had quickly evaporated.

    A ridge of high pressure built on the 24th and then built further to form an extensive anticyclone from the 25th resulting in the temperatures rising by day but giving chilly nights under clear skies, also more dry days. The maximum of 25.6C on the 30th was a significant 14.1C above my long-term average also the warmest days since 28th August 2024. Looking back through the records I found that it was the warmest April day since 2018 when a peak of 26.5C was logged.

    The total rainfall for April amounted to just 11.7mm being only 20% of my 41- year average or minus 45.9mm. Not only was there minimal rainfall there was an equivalent loss of rainfall, through evaporation from ground sources and plant life, of 82.5mm due to the very warm days, of which 24 were totally dry.

    It was not surprising to find that the average temperature for April was 1.6C above my long-term average. Only three maxima were below average during the whole month which is why the average maximum temperature was 2.9C above the long-term average whereas the average minimum temperature was just 0.2C above average.

    There have been headlines in the press recently about heatwaves or mini heatwaves. An official heatwave occurs if we experience three consecutive days when the maximum exceeds the heatwave threshold, that naturally varies across the country. The threshold for Wiltshire was recently revised upwards to 27C.

    Early morning fog was observed on two days also five air frosts were logged.

  • Last of the hot, sunny days

    Last of the hot, sunny days

    Wednesday saw the thermometer soar to a peak of 25.6C at 16.08, thanks to the wall-to-wall sunshine, it was also the warmest April day since April 2018, that also brought ‘High’ UV from 11.48 to 14.14. The night just past was much milder as the warmth was being held in the ground that had built up over the last few days with a minimum of 5.7C logged at 05.18 early Thursday, just before the sun rose over Marlborough at 05.40.

    Thursday revealed another glorious start to a new day with strong sunshine after dawn, by 08.00 the temperature had risen to 14.1C. This is likely to be the last of the days with many hours of strong sunshine as the anticyclone is fading away eastwards, down 3mb since yesterday, we are now beginning to come under the influence of a depression just off the coast of Spain that will probably later today and tomorrow begin to throw thin, variable cloud over the area. There is not a great prospect of much rain unless thunderstorms suddenly break out under the heat as the humidity is a little higher today. The soil temperature at a depth of 5cm read 14.9C at 08.00.

    April 2025 review

    The high-pressure system just to the northeast of the UK became the dominant feature for the first week in April bringing fine dry days with wall-to-wall sunshine on many days.

    The temperatures, as a result, rose well above average with a peak of 21.8C on the 4th that made it the warmest day since last September. However, the brisk wind, gusting up to 30mph, produced a wind chill so outside it felt much cooler, especially out of the sun.

    The downside to the clear skies were the cool nights as the minimum slowly began to fall away with 4.4C, 2.5C, -0.1C and -1.2C on the 8th respectively making the latter the coldest night since 16th March.

    The anticyclone that had been so dominant for many days eventually gave up the fight with the depression to the southwest beginning to elbow in and produce a significant change in our weather form the 12th as barometric pressure began to drop significantly. The first rain after seventeen consecutive dry days occurred during the evening and night of the 14th/15th, but the amount was minimal with just 0.8mm.

    The first below average maximum was logged on the 14th being the first below average since the 17th March at -0.6C. This was due to cloud being thrown up from the depression moving up from Britanny, producing the widest and densest cloud bands since early March.

    A depression edged in from the Atlantic on the 22nd that brought very welcome rainfall during the night amounting to 8.6mm being the wettest day since 26th February. This was a great help to gardeners as it had time to be absorbed by the soil, which was very dry. The previous 52 days had brought us just 8.8mm, much of which was very light and had quickly evaporated.

    A ridge of high pressure built on the 24th and then built further to form an extensive anticyclone from the 25th resulting in the temperatures rising by day but giving chilly nights under clear skies, also more dry days. The maximum of 25.6C on the 30th was a significant 14.1C above my long-term average also the warmest days since 28th August 2024. Looking back through the records I found that it was the warmest April day since 2018 when a peak of 26.5C was logged.

    The total rainfall for April amounted to just 11.7mm being only 20% of my 41- year average or minus 45.9mm. Not only was there minimal rainfall there was an equivalent loss of rainfall, through evaporation from ground sources and plant life, of 82.5mm due to the very warm days, of which 24 were totally dry.

    It was not surprising to find that the average temperature for April was 1.6C above my long-term average. Only three maxima were below average during the whole month which is why the average maximum temperature was 2.9C above the long-term average whereas the average minimum temperature was just 0.2C above average.

    There have been headlines in the press recently about heatwaves or mini heatwaves. An official heatwave occurs if we experience three consecutive days when the maximum exceeds the heatwave threshold, that naturally varies across the country. The threshold for Wiltshire was recently revised upwards to 27C.

    Early morning fog was observed on two days also five air frosts were logged.

  • Wall to wall sunshine again today!

    Wall to wall sunshine again today!

    With over 12 hours of strong sunshine on Tuesday it was not surprising to see the thermometer rise and rise to a peak of 23.8C late in the afternoon at 16.17 being a significant 9.7C above my long-term average making it the hottest day since 1st September (25.5C). The UV value peaked at 5.3 being in the ‘High’ category from 12.09 to 13.45. The breeze from the southeast continued light with a maximum air movement of just 10mph on one occasion.

    Wednesday morning brought a minimum of 4.3C at 06.00 being 0.5C above average with the temperature rising steadily after that time as the sun got to work, sunrise in Marlborough was 05.42, with a temperature of 12.5C at 08.00 making it the warmest start to a day at that time since 5th December. The soil temperature at a depth of 5cm has risen further to read 13.1C at 08.00.

    The anticyclone, now principally to the east of the UK with air circulating clockwise, combined with a depression off the Iberian coast with air circulating anticlockwise, is between them feeding the dry and hot air from Spain and further south from North Africa. The ground is holding more warmth overnight so today we can expect the thermometer to rise even higher under continuous strong sunshine. There are indications that Thursday will be the last of the very dry and hot days as by Friday there are signs of a change due to the high pressure giving way to the low pressure getting closer that will result in less sunshine and lower maxima, but still a fine day.

    I continue with the sequence of images of the wonderful spread of bluebells found in West Woods near Marlborough

  • More of the same!

    More of the same!

    The high pressure being firmly positioned over the UK on Monday gave us many hours of glorious sunshine, muted a little in the morning due to thin high cloud, that eventually produced a maximum of 22.9C at 16.21, being a significant 8.8C above my long-term average. The peak made it the warmest day this month also going back through the records the warmest day since 1st September when a peak of 25.5C was logged. The soil is slowly warming up and holding more warmth overnight so the minimum of 3.9C, logged at 15.55 early Tuesday was 0.2C above average.

    The soil temperature at a depth of 5cm logged at 08.00, has seen an increase over the past three days with 9.3C, 12.0C and 12.6C respectively.

    No mist or fog was formed overnight as the air is now much drier and overnight less cold. The humidity at 08.00 for the last four days was logged at 90.7%, 83.6%, 79.3% and 74.4% respectively. The air stream will vary between east and southeast today and continue light under the dome of high pressure.

    Only five days this month has any precipitation been recorded. The total rainfall for April will be just 11.7mm, with no prospect of any rainfall over the last two days of April, being only 20% of my 41-year record or minus 45.9mm. Set against the dry month has been the loss of equivalent rainfall through evaporation from ground sources and plant life, now totalling a considerable 73mm.

    The anticyclone will be dominating our weather until the end of the week when by Friday a change in the pattern of weather is likely to occur.

    I continue my walk through West Woods, just outside Marlborough, enjoying the wonderful spread of bluebells under the fresh, light green leaves of the beech trees.