Windrush Weather

Category: Commentary

  • Fine and dry with fresher air today after chilly night

    Fine and dry with fresher air today after chilly night

    The start to Wednesday did not follow the normal pattern as the lowest temperature is usually set during the early hours. The cold front that passed over the UK brought cloudy conditions along with cooler air that meant the minimum of 14.5C was logged at 09.21 although my records, with data read very morning at 08.00, indicated that the minimum overnight of 16.1C was set at 07.02.

    After 09.21 the cloud began to thin mid-morning with sunshine beginning to break through just before 11.00 and then building in strength that resulted in a maximum of 23.7C logged at 16.32. This high was exactly 1.0C above my long-term average but 6C below the high set on Tuesday. It was another dry day with the UV peaking in the ‘Very High’ category.

    The past night was very much cooler than recent nights with a minimum of 6.3C logged at 04.54, just before the sunrise in Marlborough at 04.56. This low was 5.6C below average and the coolest night since 23rd May.

    Thursday dawned with sunshine that slowly lifted the temperature to reach 16.9C by 08.00. The barometric pressure has risen a significant 12mb over the past twenty-four hours as an anticyclone begins to influence our weather for two days.

    The Azores high has been ridging across the country and also building that will bring us two days of fine, warm and dry weather. By Saturday this anticyclone will have separated into two components, one to the east and the other returning back to the Atlantic that will allow a low-pressure system, now just south of Iceland, to influence our weather with cooler, cloudy conditions.

    June 2025 Review

    Following the warm end to May it was quite a contrast to find that the beginning of meteorological summer began with numerous below average maxima. The days and nights were cool with very small amounts of daily precipitation after the previous three relatively dry and warm months. The heaviest fall was recorded on the 7th with 7.9m, which was deposited over many hours during the daytime and a light shower overnight.

    The brisk westerly breeze on the 7th and 8th originated from just south of Greenland, hence the moderated temperatures with a maximum of only 15.9C being 4.7C below my long-term average.

    A short drier period followed that saw temperatures increasing daily, especially by the13th as a flow of very warm air from Iberia had arrived that lifted the temperature to a maximum of 26.2C, being 5.6C above average.

    Often in winter I mention that wind chill is a factor as if outside it would feel colder than that indicated on a thermometer, referred to as the THW Index, that uses temperature, humidity and wind strength data. On the 13th the opposite was true when the THSW Index indicated if felt more like 30.2C outside on the skin, rather than the thermometer temperature of 26.2C, when the additional factor of strong sunshine was considered.

    High pressure saw the heat build from the 16th to the 21st with maxima well above my long-term average. The peak of 30.7C was logged on the 19th being a significant 10.1C above average. These conditions were brought about by hot, dry air drafted across on a southeasterly breeze from the Continent. The humidity level dropped very low in the afternoons to just over 40% on several days with the land drying out. There were several days when the equivalent loss of rainfall, through evaporation from ground sources and plant life, was in excess of 5mm daily.

    The heatwave threshold for the Marlborough area is 27C. A heatwave is described as three consecutive days with temperatures rising above the heatwave threshold. The original heatwave thresholds were based on the reference climate period of 1981-2010 and were intended to be flexible and revised in the light of climate change, therefore the heatwave thresholds were revised in 2022, using the most recent 1991-2020 climate averaging period, with the local threshold temperature rising from 26C to 27C. The review saw six counties move from 27C to 28C, one from 26C to 27C and one from 25C to 26C, the areas changed were in the south of the UK and the Midlands.

    There was a significant contrast in peak solar activity mid-month during several days when the wind veered into the west following days after a southeasterly was in control. The peak solar activity was at least 30% higher when the cooler, clearer air came from the Atlantic rather than the polluted hot air that had travelled across from the Continent brought on a southeasterly breeze.

    It was all change from the 22nd when low pressure to the northwest began to bring an Atlantic influence to our weather with maxima dropping closer to normal. The air having travelled over the sea was much less polluted than that from the Continent during the previous week. The peak solar radiation reached 1172W/m2 on the 24th compared to around 800W/m2 when we endured the hot, dry Continental air.

    The month finished with a heatwave, thanks to the Azores high pressure system, that once again saw three consecutive days when the maxima were equal to or above 27C to qualify as a heatwave. The peak solar activity occurred on the 29th when 1257W/m2 was logged at 12.52 just as the highest UV of 8.5 was recorded, which was at the top end of ‘Very High’. The last day of the month brought intense heat as the thermometer soared to a maximum of 31.3C making it the hottest day since 14th August 2022 when 33.2C was recorded.

    June 2025 was the hottest June I have recorded since the station was set up in 1984 with the average temperature a significant 2.5C above my 41-year average. It was not surprising to find that both the average maximum and average minimum were well above average at +2.72C and + 2.34C respectively.

    The total rainfall for June was 37.1mm being 70% of my 41-year average or minus 15.8mm. Due to the intense heat and warm winds the loss of equivalent rainfall due to evaporation from the ground and plant sources amounted to 116.1mm for the month.

    Although both January and February were wet months, because the following four months were much drier than average, the rainfall for the January to June period was only 296.2mm set against my 41-year record for that period of 390.9mm.

  • All change today – gone is the extreme heat after the record breaking June

    All change today – gone is the extreme heat after the record breaking June

    The sunshine was intense and relentless again on Tuesday resulting in a maximum of 30.1C being logged very early in the afternoon at 13.28. This high was 7.4C above my long-term average but down 1.2C on the extreme heat on Monday. Recently the peak has been later in the afternoon as the heat continued to build throughout the day but the advance thin, high cloud and the arrival of sightly cooler air meant the thermometer began to fall a couple of degrees during the afternoon. Data is read at 08.00 daily with an overnight minimum of 16.1C recorded at 07.02 early Wednesday, which was 4.2C above average.

    The start to Wednesday revealed total cloud cover resulting from the back edge of the cold front having passed our way during the early hours that has seen the air temperature very slowly edge downwards again to reach 15.6C at 08.30. The rain band associated with the cold front is edging eastwards towards London and giving us a miss. The cold front also brought a change in wind direction, now coming from a northwesterly direction, that has brought the cooler air.

    The very high temperatures of recent days are now a memory as the next few days will see maxima close to the average for July of 22.7C. Thursday will see an anticyclone begin to exert itself from the Atlantic for a couple of days before a low pressure, currently around Iceland, begin to take charge with more cloud and the possibility of some light precipitation, but too early to be certain also a slight drop in temperatures.

    June 2025 Review

    Following the warm end to May it was quite a contrast to find that the beginning of meteorological summer began with numerous below average maxima. The days and nights were cool with very small amounts of daily precipitation after the previous three relatively dry and warm months. The heaviest fall was recorded on the 7th with 7.9m, which was deposited over many hours during the daytime and a light shower overnight.

    The brisk westerly breeze on the 7th and 8th originated from just south of Greenland, hence the moderated temperatures with a maximum of only 15.9C being 4.7C below my long-term average.

    A short drier period followed that saw temperatures increasing daily, especially by the13th as a flow of very warm air from Iberia had arrived that lifted the temperature to a maximum of 26.2C, being 5.6C above average.

    Often in winter I mention that wind chill is a factor as if outside it would feel colder than that indicated on a thermometer, referred to as the THW Index, that uses temperature, humidity and wind strength data. On the 13th the opposite was true when the THSW Index indicated if felt more like 30.2C outside on the skin, rather than the thermometer temperature of 26.2C, when the additional factor of strong sunshine was considered.

    High pressure saw the heat build from the 16th to the 21st with maxima well above my long-term average. The peak of 30.7C was logged on the 19th being a significant 10.1C above average. These conditions were brought about by hot, dry air drafted across on a southeasterly breeze from the Continent. The humidity level dropped very low in the afternoons to just over 40% on several days with the land drying out. There were several days when the equivalent loss of rainfall, through evaporation from ground sources and plant life, was in excess of 5mm daily.

    The heatwave threshold for the Marlborough area is 27C. A heatwave is described as three consecutive days with temperatures rising above the heatwave threshold. The original heatwave thresholds were based on the reference climate period of 1981-2010 and were intended to be flexible and revised in the light of climate change, therefore the heatwave thresholds were revised in 2022, using the most recent 1991-2020 climate averaging period, with the local threshold temperature rising from 26C to 27C. The review saw six counties move from 27C to 28C, one from 26C to 27C and one from 25C to 26C, the areas changed were in the south of the UK and the Midlands.

    There was a significant contrast in peak solar activity mid-month during several days when the wind veered into the west following days after a southeasterly was in control. The peak solar activity was at least 30% higher when the cooler, clearer air came from the Atlantic rather than the polluted hot air that had travelled across from the Continent brought on a southeasterly breeze.

    It was all change from the 22nd when low pressure to the northwest began to bring an Atlantic influence to our weather with maxima dropping closer to normal. The air having travelled over the sea was much less polluted than that from the Continent during the previous week. The peak solar radiation reached 1172W/m2 on the 24th compared to around 800W/m2 when we endured the hot, dry Continental air.

    The month finished with a heatwave, thanks to the Azores high pressure system, that once again saw three consecutive days when the maxima were equal to or above 27C to qualify as a heatwave. The peak solar activity occurred on the 29th when 1257W/m2 was logged at 12.52 just as the highest UV of 8.5 was recorded, which was at the top end of ‘Very High’. The last day of the month brought intense heat as the thermometer soared to a maximum of 31.3C making it the hottest day since 14th August 2022 when 33.2C was recorded.

    June 2025 was the hottest June I have recorded since the station was set up in 1984 with the average temperature a significant 2.5C above my 41-year average. It was not surprising to find that both the average maximum and average minimum were well above average at +2.72C and + 2.34C respectively.

    The total rainfall for June was 37.1mm being 70% of my 41-year average or minus 15.8mm. Due to the intense heat and warm winds the loss of equivalent rainfall due to evaporation from the ground and plant sources amounted to 116.1mm for the month.

    Although both January and February were wet months, because the following four months were much drier than average, the rainfall for the January to June period was only 296.2mm set against my 41-year record for that period of 390.9mm.

  • What a scorcher yesterday at a peak of 31.3C, but change is afoot

    What a scorcher yesterday at a peak of 31.3C, but change is afoot

    The very strong, relentless sunshine on Monday, combined with the UV level ‘Very High’ again, pushed the thermometer to 31.1C at 16.36. This peak was a significant 10.7C above my long-term average making it the hottest day since 14th August 2022 when 33.2C was logged.. The hot air persisted overnight that saw the thermometer not drop below 18.5C, logged at 05.17 early Tuesday, just after dawn in Marlborough at 04.54.

    Tuesday began with variable cloud and some early sunshine, but cloud began encroaching from the northwest so by 07.00 it became muted. The considerable heat by day and night has resulted in a ground temperature at a depth of 5cm reading 25.2C at 08.00.

    A cold weather front is edging down from the north, which is bringing the increased thin and variable cloud that heralds the change in our weather pattern.

    We have recently been under the edge of a heat dome that was centred over Spain, Portugal and France that had been trapping hot, stagnant air beneath it. As the weak weather front eases southwards today, combined with a low pressure system in the North Sea, the wind will come from the west, bringing a fresher air stream as the day progresses, thus the peak temperature today will not quite reach the high of Monday as the recent heat is slowly being edged eastwards.

    There is news today of the first ever geostationary satellite to provide 3D profiles for temperature and humidity for Europe being launched today. This will provide data to enhance the next generation of weather forecasts. It is the second satellite as part of a series of six which will revolutionise and safeguard weather forecasting across Europe for the next 20 years. The Met Office say ” This international collaboration is vital in ensuring that recent improvements to forecast accuracy can be safeguarded and enhanced in the coming years.”

    Due to family commitments the June review will be one day late and appear tomorrow.

  • Solar energy and UV yesterday the highest since last August. Beware ‘Very High’ UV around 13.00 again today

    Solar energy and UV yesterday the highest since last August. Beware ‘Very High’ UV around 13.00 again today

    With little breeze from the west and relentless strong sunshine the thermometer slowly edged up all morning on Sunday hovering for a while at 27C at 15.24 before a sustained burst of sunshine and accumulated heat lifted the maximum to 27.4C at 16.24. The highest solar energy was logged at 12.55 with 1257W/m2 recorded, simultaneously, the UV peaked with a value of 8.5, the highest since 13th August 2024, which was at the top end of ‘Very High’. Initially the thermometer slowly edged downwards overnight, under clear skies, with a minimum of 13.6C logged in the very early hours at 03.09 on Monday, however the back track of the cloud radar showed thin, high cloud drifting in from the south just before 04.00. Early risers would have seen on Monday morning that the cloud limited the sunshine after dawn with misty conditions but by 07.30 the sun was beginning to find breaks and lifted the temperature to 19.9C by 08.00.

    Monday will see the temperatures rise very high again, especially as the air stream backed from west yesterday to southeast overnight with this morning wafting hot air from the Azores region courtesy of the Azores High. The centre of the high has eased a little eastwards over the Netherlands hence the change in direction.

    A small disturbance, minimal low pressure area, will form off the southeast coast of the UK tomorrow, so there is an outside chance of some light rain in the afternoon, with the wind briefly backing into a northerly quadrant.

    With no rain possible today the total rainfall for June will stand at 37.1mm against my 41-year average of 52.9mm. Due to the heat and warm winds there has been an equivalent loss of rainfall, due to evaporation from ground sources and plant life, of 110.1mm.

    The opposite to wind chill in the winter was again apparent on Sunday. Using data from the wind strength, temperature, humidity and also solar activity, outside at 14.00 it felt more like 30.9C when the thermometer registered 25.3C.

    I am starting a new series of images for a week or two of bees that are so important to crops, taken from my library over the post 50 years. They were taken at various times in the year.

  • Officially a heatwave.

    Officially a heatwave.

    The sunshine was intense on Saturday pushing the thermometer mid-afternoon to a maximum of 28.7C being a significant 8.1C above average. Light variable cloud limited any further rise but this was the hottest day since the 21st when 29.7C was logged. The past night was slightly cooler than the previous but a minimum of 17.1C was still 6.9C above average.

    The start to Sunday revealed a mainly cloudy sky although there were brief brighter intervals in the minimal cloud breaks before 08.30. The thermometer had risen to 20.0C by 08.00.

    The anticyclone is now firmly in control of our weather until at least Wednesday although Monday will probably bring the peak temperature. The centre of the high pressure, current barometric pressure is 1026.5mb, lies over the English Channel that will see the continuation of a westerly breeze today, backing into a more southerly direction on Monday that will increase the heat, and then likely to change significantly into a northerly quadrant on Tuesday before temperatures fall away considerably on Wednesday. By Tuesday we will have had four consecutive days with the maximum above 27C.

    The heatwave threshold for the Marlborough area is 27C. The maximum yesterday was above that figure, which will happen again today and also tomorrow. Thus we are technically experiencing a heatwave, which is described as three consecutive days with temperatures rising above the heatwave threshold. The original heatwave thresholds were based on the reference climate period of 1981-2010 and were intended to be flexible and revised in the light of climate change, therefore the heatwave thresholds were revised in 2022, using the most recent 1991-2020 climate averaging period, with the local threshold temperature rising from 26C to 27C. The review saw six counties move from 27C to 28C, one from 26C to 27C and one from 25C to 26C, the areas changed were in the south of the UK and the Midlands.