Windrush Weather

Category: Commentary

  • March rainfall record well and truly broken!

    The last day of March was appalling as it rained almost continuously all day before stopping at 22.00. However, Storm Mathis had not finished with this area as at 03.00 early Saturday the automatic rainfall gauge was triggered from a weather front that was about 60 miles broad and very slowly edged southeastwards over this area. The past twenty-four hours brought us 28.7mm of precipitation. That took the monthly rainfall total to 163.3mm, which was 277% of the 39-year average or plus 104.5mm. It was the wettest day since 19th December (29.8mm).

    Just after 10.00 on Friday the wind began to veer into the west remaining from that direction for the rest of the day as the depression eased eastwards. The temperature data was a maximum of 12.1C being 1.5C above the average and a minimum of 8.5C, which was 6.1C above the average.

    First light on Saturday revealed another very dull, wet start to the day as the rain band continued to slowly edge southeastwards with the rain still falling at 09.30.

    The last few days of above average temperatures has seen the soil temperature at a depth of 5cm rise steadily to read 10.0C at 08.00.

    March 2023 Review

    From the very beginning of March, the weather reverted back to Winter with a persistent north-easterly then northerly airstream. Maximum temperatures were below average until the 10th. The coldest night of the month occurred in the early hours of the 11th when the thermometer dropped to -3.2C, which was 5.6C below the 39-year average.

    During this period significant snowfall occurred on three days, 7th, 9th and 10th. The initial fall on the 7th revealed 8cm depth of level snow, which was added to on the 8th before it turned to rain and a thaw set in. The wettest day on the 9th produced 13.2mm of precipitation.

    Storm Larissa, named by Météo France as they were on the southern flank and were hit hardest, was the cause of the later snowfall. However, thankfully for us the worst of the storm was felt in the north if the UK.

    The 8th was a particularly cold day when the thermometer did not rise above 1.2C, which was 9.4C below the average and the coldest day since 23rd January.

    The next two days brought very disturbed weather with the south-westerly wind gusting 37mph and 48mph on the 12th and 13th respectively.

    It began to feel more like Spring from the 16th as maximum temperatures began to be consistently above the average with a high of 15.2C on the 21st being +4.6C. This was the warmest day since 13th November.

    The wet and very windy five-day period from the 20th not only produced significant daily rainfall totals but was also very windy. This was due to a depression lurking just to the west of Ireland that produced the strong south-westerly winds gusting to 29mph at its peak.

    The rainfall on the 21st took the monthly total above the 39-year average for the first time in March.

    The depression slowly moved across the country so that on the 25th it began to merge with another low pressure system over Scandinavia as a result the wind began to veer into the west and then from a northerly quadrant on the 26th that saw the temperatures drop significantly under the short lived Arctic air stream.

    The end of the month was dominated by a mild, moist south-westerly air stream. The rainfall was added to significantly by the arrival of Storm Mathis, named by Météo France, a deep and large depression. The wettest day for two months, 30th/31st, added another 16.8mm, that took the monthly total to 134.6mm and broke the record for the wettest March set by March 2018 (130.9mm). At 08.00 on the 31st the March rainfall was 229% of the long-term average.

    The last day of March was appalling as it rained all day until 22.00 and then began again in the early hours of the 1st. The rainfall during that twenty-four hour period was 28.7mm making it the wettest day since 19th December.

    The March rainfall amounted to 163.3mm, which was 277% of the 39-year average or plus 104.5mm and well and truly smashed the record set in 2018 (130.9mm). Even though we had a dry February the rainfall for the period January to March was 60mm above the long-term average.

    There were 22 days in March described as wet days by the Meteorological Office, that is rainfall equal to or above 1mm, when the average is 11.

    Air frost occurred on only 5 days as against the average of 8 days, so it was not surprising to find that the mean temperature for March was 0.5C above the 39-year average.

    It was the dullest March I have recorded since my solar sensor was installed in 2010 being just 81% of the 13-year average.

    Atmospheric Rivers
    Atmospheric rivers are relatively long, narrow regions in the atmosphere – like rivers in the sky – that transport most of the water vapour outside of the tropics. These columns of vapour move with the weather, carrying an amount of water vapour roughly equivalent to the average flow of water at the mouth of the Mississippi River. When the atmospheric rivers make landfall, they often release this water vapor in the form of rain or snow.

    California has recently been experiencing this phenomenon with 12 occasions during March that produced major flooding and significant property damage.

    The atmospheric rivers are greater than 2,000km long and less than 1,000km wide and have at least 2cm of vertically significant precipitable water. They collect moisture from the tropics and carry it northwards.

  • Record broken! Rain 229% of average & still one day to go!

    The past twenty-four hours brought us another 16.8mm of rainfall making it the wettest day since 13th January (22.8mm). This additional precipitation took the monthly total to 134.6mm that has broken the record for March rainfall standing at 229% of the average or 75.8mm above the 39-year average. The previous record was set in 2018 with 130.9mm. And still it rains with one more day this month!

    During the brief, sunny interludes on Thursday the UV level rose to 3.9 being at the top end of ‘Moderate’ strength and the highest since 23rd September.

    As I write this report at 08.30 the centre of the deep and large depression is currently centred over our area with a barometric pressure of 982.5mb making it the lowest pressure reading since 16th November (977.2mb). As the depression moves away eastwards the wind will veer into the west.

    The mild, moist southwesterly wind, gusting to 25mph on Thursday, pushed the thermometer to a maximum of 14.8C being 4.2C above the average. Not surprisingly, the thick cloud cover overnight meant a mild night with the thermometer not sinking below 94C, which was 7.0C above the 39-year average.

    Daylight on Friday revealed the gloomy, wet and dismal scene under the depression, the wind having fallen light being in the centre of the storm All this thanks to Storm Mathis visiting us!

  • Under attack later today and tonight from yet another large depression

    Yet another wet day on Wednesday with an additional 5.7mm of precipitation that took the monthly total to 117.8mm. That makes it at the moment the second wettest March I have recorded since the station was set up in 1984. The record is held by March 2018 with 130.9mm.

    The large depression in mid-Atlantic brought more mild and moist air on a southwesterly airstream, gusting to 24mph at its peak.

    The thermometer extremes were a maximum of 11.9C being 1.3C above the 39-year average and a low of 9.1C, which was 6.7C above the long-term average. The diurnal range was minimal, just 2.8C between night and day.

    Thursday arrived with total cloud over and light rain from the back edge of the last weather front. However, at 08.16 as write this report the sun broke through very briefly. The wind continues from the southwest

    As the deep depression closes in on the UK, heavy and persistent rain is arriving later today and overnight with possible thunder. Will the last two days of March 2023 bring a new rainfall record, quite possible?

  • Murky, mild weather continues

    Tuesday was another cool day irrespective of the light southerly air stream. The thermometer stayed around 8C all, day rising overnight to a peak of 9.4C, which was 1.2C below the average.

    The low f 6.4C was 4C above the 39-year average.

    Further rain fell amounting to 3.4mm that took the month total to 112.1mm making it the third wettest March since my records began in 1984. The rainfall forecast on Wednesday is likely to change that to the second wettest.

    Wednesday dawned with low cloud draping the Marlborough Downs and Savernake Forest. Between 07.00 and 08.00 the visibility improved only for it to fall significantly after 08.00 for a brief time as the thick cloud base dropped.

    The high pressure of Monday is a distant memory as the deep depression in mid Atlantic closes in on the UK with three weather fronts ahead of it’s centre passing over the UK today.

    I am very pleased that after a wait of several months the modified software is now allowing the considerable month/year graphs and associated data to be accessed.

  • Lost one high pressure, gained another depression

    The ridge of high pressure on Monday gave us a dry day with the wind very light in comparison to previous days. The air movement in the afternoon changed from a northerly quadrant to south.

    Temperatures by day and night were above with maximum of 11.7C (+1.2C) and 4.1C (+1.7C).

    Tuesday revealed a leaden sky with light winds from a southerly quadrant with a few spots of rain, not measurable, between 07.30 and 08.00. A deep depression approaching the UK from mid-Atlantic will bring more rain as the day progresses which will increase the monthly rainfall total from its current 185% of the 39-year average. By today 108.7mm has fallen in March making it the third wettest I have recorded since the station was set up in 1984.