Monday 3rd November
The westerly breeze on Sunday continued to bring moist and warm air across our region that saw the thermometer rise to a maximum of 11.9C at 12.46 being 1.6C above average. The past evening and night was in two parts. During the early evening the thermometer slowly fell away, under clearing skies, to reach a minimum of 6.3C at 19.16 and stayed at that temperature until 19.53. At that time cloud was seen on the radar edging in from the west that resulted in the thermometer doing an about turn, which is contrary to most nights in November when the temperature continues to fall. The temperature rose 1C in the next hour and reached 12.5C by 08.00 on Monday, thus eventually a very mild night.
First light on Monday revealed a cloudy sky from the back edge of the warm weather front that crossed during the early hours, no precipitation fell during its passage across our area.
We are going to be under a flow of warm, moist air from a southwesterly breeze today, backing into the south on Tuesday, which will mean the unsettled Atlantic air will dominate our weather for most of the coming week. Depressions will be fended off crossing the UK, thanks to an area of high pressure resident over Europe that will act as a buffer to the worst of the unsettled weather although it will be breezy with intermittent outbreaks of light rain. It will mean a warm but moist week with temperatures by day and night well above the November average, but minimal sunshine likely.
The unsettled and changeable conditions are a knock-on effect from the remains of ex-hurricane Melissa, which are incorporated into the broader and complex area of low pressure that sits to the northwest of Scotland over the next couple of days, injecting additional moisture into the atmosphere and maintaining the wet, windy and cloudy theme.